Preseason Rankings
Santa Clara
West Coast
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.4#125
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace75.7#40
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.7#130
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#150
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.1% 5.5% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.1% 3.4% 0.7%
Average Seed 10.7 10.7 11.4
.500 or above 62.1% 65.6% 31.6%
.500 or above in Conference 44.8% 46.8% 27.4%
Conference Champion 1.5% 1.6% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 8.7% 7.8% 16.0%
First Four1.2% 1.3% 0.3%
First Round4.4% 4.8% 1.3%
Second Round1.5% 1.6% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.5% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Idaho St. (Home) - 89.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 21 - 32 - 7
Quad 34 - 36 - 10
Quad 47 - 113 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 299   Idaho St. W 83-70 90%    
  Nov 27, 2020 204   UC Davis W 80-72 78%    
  Nov 28, 2020 234   Nicholls St. W 83-73 81%    
  Dec 12, 2020 230   Sacramento St. W 74-64 81%    
  Dec 18, 2020 282   @ San Jose St. W 86-80 72%    
  Dec 23, 2020 115   @ Oregon St. L 72-76 35%    
  Dec 28, 2020 334   Alcorn St. W 88-69 95%    
  Jan 02, 2021 154   Loyola Marymount W 73-68 67%    
  Jan 07, 2021 1   @ Gonzaga L 73-93 4%    
  Jan 09, 2021 74   St. Mary's L 71-73 42%    
  Jan 14, 2021 138   @ Pacific L 70-72 43%    
  Jan 16, 2021 159   @ San Diego L 76-77 48%    
  Jan 21, 2021 91   San Francisco L 76-77 48%    
  Jan 23, 2021 154   @ Loyola Marymount L 70-71 46%    
  Jan 28, 2021 138   Pacific W 73-69 63%    
  Jan 30, 2021 263   @ Portland W 79-74 68%    
  Feb 04, 2021 74   @ St. Mary's L 68-76 24%    
  Feb 11, 2021 1   Gonzaga L 76-90 13%    
  Feb 13, 2021 263   Portland W 82-71 82%    
  Feb 18, 2021 159   San Diego W 79-74 67%    
  Feb 20, 2021 108   Pepperdine W 83-82 53%    
  Feb 25, 2021 54   @ BYU L 75-85 20%    
  Feb 27, 2021 91   @ San Francisco L 74-80 30%    
Projected Record 12 - 11 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.5 1st
2nd 0.2 1.1 2.2 2.4 1.2 0.2 7.1 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.3 4.6 2.9 0.9 0.1 11.1 3rd
4th 0.3 3.3 5.9 3.0 0.4 0.0 13.0 4th
5th 0.4 3.7 6.4 2.7 0.2 0.0 13.4 5th
6th 0.3 4.0 6.7 2.6 0.3 14.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.7 6.3 2.8 0.2 0.0 13.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.3 5.7 2.3 0.1 12.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 3.2 3.8 1.5 0.1 9.6 9th
10th 0.2 0.9 1.8 1.5 0.4 0.0 4.9 10th
Total 0.2 1.0 2.7 5.2 8.0 11.3 13.2 13.7 12.9 11.3 8.9 5.6 3.5 1.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 72.2% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
13-3 30.4% 0.5    0.2 0.3 0.1
12-4 7.9% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-5 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 100.0% 25.6% 74.4% 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-2 0.7% 89.7% 30.5% 59.3% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 85.3%
13-3 1.8% 65.0% 12.6% 52.4% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 59.9%
12-4 3.5% 36.4% 9.7% 26.8% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.2 29.6%
11-5 5.6% 15.0% 6.3% 8.6% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 4.8 9.2%
10-6 8.9% 5.8% 4.0% 1.8% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 8.4 1.9%
9-7 11.3% 3.3% 2.8% 0.5% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 11.0 0.6%
8-8 12.9% 1.1% 1.0% 0.1% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.7 0.1%
7-9 13.7% 0.3% 0.3% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.6
6-10 13.2% 0.3% 0.3% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.1
5-11 11.3% 0.2% 0.2% 15.7 0.0 0.0 11.2
4-12 8.0% 0.2% 0.2% 15.5 0.0 0.0 7.9
3-13 5.2% 5.2
2-14 2.7% 2.7
1-15 1.0% 1.0
0-16 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 5.1% 2.1% 3.1% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.2 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 94.9 3.1%